That-Newspaper

0x6304679c4bee05e560ebb637758a617086d4e570

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

That-Newspaper: +$16K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$16K
return +81.8%
Settled bets
6
$20K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 19%–81%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$12K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$4.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY Aurora @ 63¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs $1.5K
Oct 9 BUY MOUZ @ 59¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $9.4K
Oct 5 BUY Aurora Gaming @ 64¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $18K
Oct 3 BUY G2 Esports @ 54¢
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C $4.7K
Sep 29 BUY @ 31¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B AND Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A AND Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B AND Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A AND Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B $1.1K
Aug 23 SELL Team Spirit @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner $2.1K
Aug 21 BUY Nigma Galaxy @ 37¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs $3.7K
Aug 20 SELL FUT Esports @ 99.9¢
Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs
Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs $15K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed