Polymarket market · Other
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
17 whales traded $51K on this market since Sep 8, 89% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 2 minutes later would have cost 2.6¢ more per share, with 62% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
17 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fearless-Misnomer
38 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 52¢ | $6.4K | $3.1K |
| Bulky-Antler
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 50¢ | $7.0K | — |
| 0x955c…990f
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 50¢ | $5.5K | — |
| Evergreen-Wifi
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $4.7K |
| Dearest-Agenda
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 68¢ | $3.8K | — |
| 0x7c46…bc6c
no settled record |
No @ 52¢ | $3.1K | — |
| Stormy-Agenda
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 61¢ | $2.4K | — |
| Peppery-Capital
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 70¢ | $2.1K | — |
| Dull-Universe
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.0K |
| Velvety-Rutabaga
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 59¢ | $1.8K | — |
| Pure-Threat
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 64¢ | $1.7K | — |
| Complete-Referendum
6 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 61¢ | $1.4K | — |
| Uncomfortable-Goat
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 54¢ | $1.3K | — |
| Cheerful-Ephemera
62 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 34¢ | $1.3K | — |
| Careful-Bunch
85 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 83¢ | $1.1K | — |
| Kaleidoscopic-Camp
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 72¢ | $1.1K | — |
| 0x8f7a…db40
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$35K89% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $11K sold
-
No$4.5K11% of whale buying · 2 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 8 to Oct 15, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792134019).
More other markets the whales bet on
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | $184K | 19 | Open | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | $105K | 17 | Open | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | $161K | 43 | Open | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | $676K | 75 | Open | |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | $68K | 16 | Open | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | $77K | 13 | Won: Yes | |
| Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston | $147K | 14 | Won: Western Kentucky | |
| Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group D | $102K | 21 | Won: BC.Game Esports |