Trusty-Amusement
0xc3973025163de81e367ad29c21e296e51684bb3b
Trusty-Amusement: +$1.1K on 45 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 51% (95% range 37%–65%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$1.1K
return +2.4%
Settled bets
45
$47K staked
Won
51.1%
95% range 37%–65%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 31 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$3.7K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$5.5K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$2.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY TLN Pirates
@ 25¢
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs |
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs | $1.5K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Movistar KOI Fénix
@ 74¢
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs |
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Movistar KOI Fénix
@ 65¢
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Movistar KOI Fénix
@ 61¢
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs |
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Disguised
@ 37¢
LoL: Disguised vs Maryville University - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Disguised vs Maryville University - Game 3 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Anubis Gaming
@ 75¢
LoL: Anubis Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs |
LoL: Anubis Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Kaufland Hangry Knights
@ 76¢
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 2 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 75¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.