Yawning-Chili
0xfdc0bd67fbd71aa8edd00121eb2a7fcbddc34b85
Yawning-Chili: +$2.8K on 45 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 78% (95% range 64%–88%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$2.8K
return +4.5%
Settled bets
45
$64K staked
Won
77.8%
95% range 64%–88%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 45 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$236
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$2.8K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$202
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Vitality
@ 87¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Vitality
@ 95¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner | $1.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Vitality
@ 72¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner | $1.6K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 94¢
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | $1.8K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Spirit
@ 78¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 1 Winner | $1.8K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Spirit
@ 78¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 1 Winner | $1.9K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Spirit
@ 78¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 2 Winner | $1.7K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 66¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.