Legitimate-Rhythm
Skill vs luck
Legitimate-Rhythm on Polymarket: 6 settled bets · won 17% (95% range 3%–56%) · profit +$808. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Legitimate-Rhythm: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xbdab44315f0c04ac338e0008768419292126b999. Data CC BY 4.0.
Legitimate-Rhythm: +$808 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 17% (95% range 3%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- +$808
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | BUY FURIA @ 57¢ | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 16 | SELL ex-RUSTEC
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Group Stage | $2.8K |
| Oct 16 | SELL ex-RUSTEC
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Saint Sinners - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Saint Sinners - Map 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Vitalem Aerem
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Vitalem Aerem - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Vitalem Aerem - Map 2 Winner | $2.5K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Gothic
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Gothic vs Esport Academy Copenhagen - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Gothic vs Esport Academy Copenhagen - Map 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 6 | SELL mellren
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B |
Counter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B | $1.4K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?