Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

Resolved: Team Falcons won · See it on Polymarket ↗

23 whales put $170K into this market since Oct 3, 45% of their buying on Aurora Gaming. Team Falcons won. Of the 19 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$11K and 9 lost −$105K: −$94K between them.

The whales on this market

23 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Well-Documented-Outrigger
118 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora Gaming @ 41¢ $41K — −$41K
Creative-Midwife
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora Gaming @ 40¢ $34K — −$34K
Easy-Titanium
73 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 61¢ $3.0K $21K —
Rash-Barometer
341 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora Gaming @ 40¢ $13K — −$13K
Stylish-Pattypan
159 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 67¢ $8.5K — −$408
Runny-Wait-Gynaecology
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora Gaming @ 41¢ $8.2K — −$8.2K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
951 settled bets Beat the odds*
Team Falcons @ 61¢ $4.6K — +$2.9K
Sturdy-Overheard
6 settled bets Too few bets
Aurora Gaming @ 40¢ $4.1K — −$4.1K
Usable-Flu
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 99.87¢ $4.1K — +$5
Boring-Constellation
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 84¢ $3.2K — +$635
Nervous-Parallelogram
283 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 62¢ $3.1K — +$1.9K
Vacant-Penicillin
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.0K —
Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
405 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora Gaming @ 18¢ $2.6K — −$2.6K
Tedious-Pagan
293 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 62¢ $2.5K — +$1.5K
Worst-Analogue
305 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 62¢ $2.5K — +$1.5K
Granular-Utensil
18 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.2K —
Guilty-Aide
9 settled bets Too few bets
Team Falcons @ 72¢ $1.8K — +$703
Writhing-Round
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 60¢ $1.8K — +$1.2K
Ornate-Counterpart-Frog
16 settled bets Too few bets
Aurora Gaming @ 41¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Babyish-Pony
14 settled bets Too few bets
Team Falcons @ 61¢ $1.2K — +$784
Male-Diabetes-Excursion
2 settled bets Too few bets
Aurora Gaming @ 36¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Worrisome-Winery
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Scary-Pearl
217 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 99¢ $1.1K — +$16

Where the whale money went

  1. Aurora Gaming lost
    $64K
    45% of whale buying · 7 buyers
  2. Team Falcons lost
    $44K
    31% of whale buying · 2 buyers
  3. Team Falcons won
    $34K
    24% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $28K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 3 to Oct 4, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed