Worrisome-Winery
0x6683dc5307a8cc191a05d2741d34182a6b05de6b
Worrisome-Winery: +$382 on 40 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 53% (95% range 38%–67%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$382
return +1.0%
Settled bets
40
$38K staked
Won
52.5%
95% range 38%–67%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 21 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$1.1K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$798
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$2.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | BUY Hubert Hurkacz
@ 74¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yi Zhou |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yi Zhou | $1.5K |
| Oct 9 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 57¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $1.2K |
| Oct 9 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 85¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $1.8K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Lynn Vision
@ 74¢
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs | $1.6K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 76¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 67¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $2.2K |
| Oct 6 | BUY FURIA
@ 56¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.2K |
| Oct 6 | SELL LGD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.