Granular-Utensil
0xc548cb509b2dfc09282f8037eb103a8ad7a88e4e
Granular-Utensil: −$2.1K on 36 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 20%–50%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$2.1K
return −9.0%
Settled bets
36
$23K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 20%–50%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$2.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | SELL Team Vitality
@ 99.9¢
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs |
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | $1.5K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Spirit
@ 92¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Spirit
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | $1.4K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Spirit
@ 95¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | $1.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 90¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $1.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY 100 Thieves
@ 85¢
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner |
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Vitality
@ 94¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Vitality
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.