Polymarket market · Sports

Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe

Resolved: Frances Tiafoe won · See it on Polymarket ↗

23 whales put $209K into this market since Aug 22, 47% of their buying on Brandon Nakashima. Frances Tiafoe won. Of the 18 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$22K and 11 lost −$68K: −$46K between them.

The whales on this market

23 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Zesty-Credit-Maniac
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Frances Tiafoe @ 49¢ $15K $23K +$7.9K
Shameful-Delay
119 settled bets Worse than the odds
Frances Tiafoe @ 69¢ $10K $14K —
Grave-Coconut
198 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Frances Tiafoe @ 99¢ $15K — +$150
Snoopy-Feature
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Brandon Nakashima @ 52¢ $13K — −$13K
Ignorant-Shaw-Ego
84 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Frances Tiafoe @ 49¢ $13K — −$13K
Frail-Possible
629 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Frances Tiafoe @ 52¢ $13K — +$803
Vibrant-Kind
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Frances Tiafoe @ 99¢ $5.9K $6.0K +$54
Joyous-Interpreter
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Frances Tiafoe @ 49¢ $11K — +$11K
New-Hammock
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Brandon Nakashima @ 52¢ $9.2K — −$9.2K
Mountainous-Beef
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $8.5K —
Snappy-Basketball
246 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Brandon Nakashima @ 59¢ $8.1K — −$8.1K
Bumpy-Burden
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Brandon Nakashima @ 52¢ $3.9K $4.1K —
Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds*
Brandon Nakashima @ 38¢ $7.8K — −$7.8K
Dazzling-Hybridization-Calculation
92 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Brandon Nakashima @ 52¢ $5.2K — −$5.2K
Sweet-Number
79 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Brandon Nakashima @ 53¢ $4.9K — −$4.9K
Taut-Horn
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.1K —
Cloudy-Leaker
32 settled bets Worse than the odds
Brandon Nakashima @ 52¢ $2.0K $1.0K −$954
Defensive-Quartz
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Frances Tiafoe @ 70¢ $3.0K — +$1.3K
Admired-Doubter
81 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Brandon Nakashima @ 39¢ $2.6K — −$2.6K
Scornful-Gym-Retreat
163 settled bets Beat the odds*
Brandon Nakashima @ 52¢ $1.8K — −$1.8K
Grimy-Vibrissae
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.7K —
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
951 settled bets Beat the odds*
Brandon Nakashima @ 37¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Adolescent-Nexus
1 settled bets Too few bets
Frances Tiafoe @ 77¢ $1.1K — +$319

Where the whale money went

  1. Brandon Nakashima lost
    $68K
    47% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $4.6K sold
  2. Frances Tiafoe won
    $65K
    45% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $56K sold
  3. Frances Tiafoe lost
    $13K
    9% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $1.7K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 22 to Aug 23, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed