Polymarket market · Sports

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles

Resolved: Baltimore Orioles won · See it on Polymarket ↗

11 whales put $196K into this market since Aug 22, 87% of their buying on Tampa Bay Rays. Baltimore Orioles won. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$15K and 7 lost −$148K: −$134K between them.

The whales on this market

11 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Webbed-Myth
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tampa Bay Rays @ 55¢ $92K — −$92K
Enchanted-Foal
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Baltimore Orioles @ 46¢ $12K $23K —
Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds*
Tampa Bay Rays @ 71¢ $33K — −$33K
0xa0f2…1848
130 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tampa Bay Rays @ 55¢ $12K — −$12K
Lovely-Orchard-Stool
87 settled bets Worse than the odds
Baltimore Orioles @ 36¢ $7.2K — +$13K
Trivial-Ravioli
228 settled bets Worse than the odds
Tampa Bay Rays @ 70¢ $4.2K — −$4.2K
Wooden-Breath
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Baltimore Orioles @ 47¢ $1.1K $2.3K +$1.2K
Worse-Exaggeration
8 settled bets Too few bets
Tampa Bay Rays @ 89¢ $2.8K — −$2.8K
Harmless-Region
153 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tampa Bay Rays @ 54¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Unhealthy-Loafer-Graphic
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Baltimore Orioles @ 74¢ $2.1K — +$735
Grimy-Vibrissae
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tampa Bay Rays @ 44¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K

Where the whale money went

  1. Tampa Bay Rays lost
    $148K
    87% of whale buying · 7 buyers
  2. Baltimore Orioles won
    $22K
    13% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $25K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 22 to Aug 23, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed