New-Hammock
0xe394fd07cfceaceffcfab62afa3969afe8ec289c
New-Hammock: −$27K on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 38% (95% range 19%–61%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$27K
return −47.8%
Settled bets
16
$57K staked
Won
37.5%
95% range 19%–61%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 15 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$26K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$5.4K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$6.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | BUY No
@ 45¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | $1.4K |
| Oct 8 | BUY No
@ 42¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | $2.1K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Valentin Vacherot
@ 39¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin Vacherot |
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin Vacherot | $2.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Carlos Alcaraz
@ 55¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar |
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar | $2.8K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Arthur Fils
@ 40¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils |
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils | $5.4K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Yes
@ 94¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | $1.1K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Jazmin Ortenzi
@ 37¢
Sao Paulo Open: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Paula Badosa |
Sao Paulo Open: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Paula Badosa | $1.5K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Yes
@ 54¢
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? |
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | $1.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.