Sweet-Number
0x36223d8d3540f862c6a2210218c9383349bd3fac
Sweet-Number: −$15K on 79 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 42% (95% range 32%–53%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$15K
return −11.2%
Settled bets
79
$135K staked
Won
41.8%
95% range 32%–53%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 43 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$2.3K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$4.8K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$12K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | BUY Arthur Fery
@ 57¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | $3.5K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Yes
@ 61¢
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16? |
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16? | $2.1K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Yes
@ 47¢
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-10-06? |
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-10-06? | $1.7K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Los Angeles Dodgers
@ 89¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves |
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves | $1.9K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Los Angeles Dodgers
@ 51¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves |
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves | $1.1K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Up
@ 99¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | $1.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Maximo Zeitune
@ 37¢
Antofagasta: Gustavo Heide vs Maximo Zeitune |
Antofagasta: Gustavo Heide vs Maximo Zeitune | $3.8K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Yes
@ 43¢
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? |
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | $4.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.