Polymarket market · Sports

Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-22?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

11 whales put $167K into this market since Aug 22, 77% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$100K and 4 lost −$28K: +$73K between them.

The whales on this market

11 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Educated-Stonework
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 56¢ $70K — +$55K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,072 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 53¢ $29K — +$16K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 44¢ $26K — −$19K
Cooperative-Nestmate
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 53¢ $18K — +$16K
Pleased-Song-Financing
8 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 47¢ $6.5K — −$6.5K
Gigantic-Graduation
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 53¢ $3.8K — +$3.4K
Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 39¢ $3.1K — +$4.9K
Frail-Possible
629 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 44¢ $3.1K — −$717
All-Peasant-Drug
891 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 47¢ $2.6K — +$3.0K
Descriptive-Shoehorn
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 50¢ $2.0K — +$2.0K
Simple-Responsibility
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 47¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $129K
    77% of whale buying · 9 buyers
  2. No lost
    $38K
    23% of whale buying · 5 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 22 to Aug 23, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed