Snoopy-Feature

0x5ba61105b276b4e793d0b5a5d773b78186720f07

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Snoopy-Feature: −$58K on 29 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 35% (95% range 20%–53%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$58K
return −50.5%
Settled bets
29
$115K staked
Won
34.5%
95% range 20%–53%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 24 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$47K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$10K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 BUY Jakub Mensik @ 65¢
China Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik
China Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik $13K
Oct 1 BUY Andrey Rublev @ 80¢
China Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Andrey Rublev
China Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Andrey Rublev $6.7K
Sep 27 BUY Denis Shapovalov @ 72¢
Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov $2.1K
Sep 4 BUY Alexander Bublik @ 44¢
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul $2.9K
Sep 2 BUY Stefanos Tsitsipas @ 69¢
US Open ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
US Open ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Stefanos Tsitsipas $5.6K
Sep 1 BUY Arthur Fery @ 25¢
US Open ATP: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti
US Open ATP: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti $4.6K
Sep 1 SELL Mattia Bellucci @ 99.9¢
US Open ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zsombor Piros
US Open ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zsombor Piros $11K
Sep 1 BUY Mattia Bellucci @ 71¢
US Open ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zsombor Piros
US Open ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zsombor Piros $5.9K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed