Grave-Coconut
0x986b121c40e715167dde178b8520bf132a57bdc6
Grave-Coconut: −$11K on 224 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 92% (95% range 88%–95%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$11K
return −0.7%
Settled bets
224
$1.75M staked
Won
92.0%
95% range 88%–95%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 208 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$6.9K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$15K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$3.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
In the live feed
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | BUY Alex de Minaur
@ 97¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto | $12K |
| Oct 11 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Exact Score: Austin FC 2 - 2 Nashville SC? |
Exact Score: Austin FC 2 - 2 Nashville SC? | $2.2K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Stefanos Tsitsipas
@ 98¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | $22K |
| Oct 10 | SELL Jiri Lehecka
@ 99.9¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Nuno Borges |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Nuno Borges | $11K |
| Oct 10 | SELL Daniil Medvedev
@ 99.9¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff | $9.3K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Jiri Lehecka
@ 98¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Nuno Borges |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Nuno Borges | $11K |
| Oct 10 | BUY No
@ 99.5¢
Exact Score: Tigres de la UANL 5 - 2 Deportivo Toluca FC? |
Exact Score: Tigres de la UANL 5 - 2 Deportivo Toluca FC? | $5.0K |
| Oct 10 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Exact Score: Tepatitlan FC 3 - 2 Atletico Morelia? |
Exact Score: Tepatitlan FC 3 - 2 Atletico Morelia? | $2.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.