Defensive-Quartz
0xd4225ee3c77fda4d1360e096669e4e97198a7e43
Defensive-Quartz: +$342 on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 77% (95% range 50%–92%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$342
return +0.9%
Settled bets
13
$38K staked
Won
76.9%
95% range 50%–92%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$2.1K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$2.4K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$4.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY Alexander Zverev
@ 71¢
China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic |
China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic | $4.8K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 93¢
Will England win on 2026-10-03? |
Will England win on 2026-10-03? | $8.3K |
| Sep 26 | SELL Carlos Alcaraz
@ 99.9¢
Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz |
Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz | $1.9K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Joanderson Brito
@ 79¢
UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims) |
UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims) | $1.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Jean Silva
@ 79¢
Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card) |
Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card) | $1.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Alexa Grasso
@ 97¢
Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) |
Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | $5.0K |
| Sep 9 | BUY Alexander Zverev
@ 87¢
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp |
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp | $7.9K |
| Sep 9 | BUY Karen Khachanov
@ 64¢
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx |
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.