Mountainous-Beef
0x8f3c569792ebe53e2fb7b09464896afd33bb2f57
Mountainous-Beef: +$62 on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 44% (95% range 23%–67%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$62
return +0.3%
Settled bets
16
$20K staked
Won
43.8%
95% range 23%–67%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$3.4K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$3.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12 | BUY Frances Tiafoe
@ 45¢
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton |
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton | $2.0K |
| Sep 10 | BUY Yes
@ 64¢
PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Score |
PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Score | $2.0K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Yes
@ 60¢
Lille OSC vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score |
Lille OSC vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score | $1.9K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Frances Tiafoe
@ 58¢
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen |
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen | $1.9K |
| Sep 7 | BUY Iva Jovic
@ 26¢
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Coco Gauff |
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Coco Gauff | $1.4K |
| Sep 7 | SELL Arthur Gea
@ 94¢
US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp |
US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp | $2.2K |
| Sep 7 | BUY Yes
@ 53¢
Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score |
Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score | $1.0K |
| Sep 6 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Juventus FC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score |
Juventus FC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.