Scornful-Gym-Retreat

0xf12f7688a0bc8cc744ef871f70b74c16a976b30f

Polymarket

Beat the odds* Check it on Polymarket ↗

Scornful-Gym-Retreat: +$58K on 163 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 42%–57%). Skill or luck: beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone).

Profit
+$58K
return +18.6%
Settled bets
163
$312K staked
Won
49.7%
95% range 42%–57%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone). We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 146 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$5.6K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$27K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$26K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 BUY Nikoloz Basilashvili @ 51¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili $2.9K
Oct 6 BUY Jay Clarke @ 30¢
Palermo: Jay Clarke vs Gabriele Piraino
Palermo: Jay Clarke vs Gabriele Piraino $1.1K
Oct 6 BUY Jay Clarke @ 54¢
Palermo: Jay Clarke vs Gabriele Piraino
Palermo: Jay Clarke vs Gabriele Piraino $2.8K
Oct 6 SELL Stefano DAgostino @ 99.16¢
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Stefano D'Agostino
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Stefano D'Agostino $2.1K
Oct 6 BUY Pedro Martinez @ 19¢
Villena: August Holmgren vs Pedro Martinez
Villena: August Holmgren vs Pedro Martinez $1.6K
Oct 6 BUY Luca Potenza @ 11¢
Palermo: Luca Potenza vs Enrico Dalla Valle
Palermo: Luca Potenza vs Enrico Dalla Valle $1.2K
Oct 6 BUY Ivan Gakhov @ 23¢
Palermo: Ivan Gakhov vs Yanaki Milev
Palermo: Ivan Gakhov vs Yanaki Milev $1.0K
Oct 6 BUY Ivan Gakhov @ 41¢
Palermo: Ivan Gakhov vs Yanaki Milev
Palermo: Ivan Gakhov vs Yanaki Milev $3.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed