Polymarket market · Sports

Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart

Resolved: Harriet Dart won · See it on Polymarket ↗

24 whales traded $210K on this market since Oct 31, 57% of their buying on Lilli Tagger. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.1¢ less per share, with 98% of the size there to buy. Harriet Dart won, with 43% of the whale buying on it. Of the 19 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$51K and 12 lost −$56K: −$5.0K between them. Biggest win: Substantial-Service, +$16K on Harriet Dart. Biggest loss: Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement, −$19K on Lilli Tagger.

The whales on this market

24 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Quixotic-Brow
261 settled bets Worse than the odds
Harriet Dart @ 15¢ $7.4K $31K —
Substantial-Service
1,180 settled bets Beat the odds*
Harriet Dart @ 63¢ $26K — +$16K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
6,030 settled bets Beat the odds*
Lilli Tagger @ 72¢ $24K — −$6.8K
Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
555 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lilli Tagger @ 50¢ $22K — −$19K
Grateful-Chest
337 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lilli Tagger @ 68¢ $16K $4.8K −$1.8K
Ajar-Thief-Rooster
139 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Harriet Dart @ 24¢ $5.0K $8.4K +$14K
Rotating-Beard
12 settled bets Too few bets
Harriet Dart @ 24¢ $4.6K $5.2K +$14K
Glaring-Salt
2,322 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lilli Tagger @ 78¢ $8.9K — −$8.9K
Reliable-Giggle
177 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Harriet Dart @ 37¢ $3.2K $4.3K +$1.1K
Strong-Grill-Self
5 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $6.2K —
Lined-Liquid
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lilli Tagger @ 86¢ $4.3K — −$4.3K
Zesty-Doubter
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lilli Tagger @ 65¢ $3.2K — −$3.2K
Likely-Feedback
70 settled bets Worse than the odds
Lilli Tagger @ 81¢ $1.8K $1.3K −$479
Limited-Dragonfruit
67 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Harriet Dart @ 43¢ $3.0K — +$4.0K
0x02fd…104c
28 settled bets Worse than the odds
Lilli Tagger @ 81¢ $2.8K — −$2.8K
Harmless-Region
286 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lilli Tagger @ 58¢ $2.6K — −$2.6K
Excellent-Figure
85 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lilli Tagger @ 62¢ $2.3K — −$2.3K
Naughty-Tab
172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lilli Tagger @ 59¢ $1.1K $1.1K —
Spiffy-Revenue
130 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Harriet Dart @ 63¢ $2.0K — +$1.2K
Sorrowful-Ton
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Harriet Dart @ 70¢ $1.8K — +$772
Slow-Escape
396 settled bets Beat the odds*
Lilli Tagger @ 60¢ $1.8K — −$1.8K
Stingy-Havoc-Amendment
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.7K —
Ancient-Infarction
71 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Plaintive-Killing-Survey
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lilli Tagger @ 88¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. Lilli Tagger lost
    $82K
    57% of whale buying · 15 buyers · $9.6K sold
  2. Harriet Dart won
    $63K
    43% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $56K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 31 to Nov 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793602824).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Chennai Open, Qualification: Kyoka Okamura vs Momoko Kobori $67K 6 Won: Kyoka Okamura
Chennai Open, Qualification: Aliona Falei vs Rada Zolotareva $108K 6 Won: Aliona Falei
Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Coleman Wong $67K 15 Won: Terence Atmane
Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Yaroslav Demin $122K 18 Won: Yaroslav Demin
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic $72K 16 Won: Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz $92K 26 Won: Carlos Alcaraz
Villa Maria: Ian Luca Vertberger vs Denis Klok $62K 5 Won: Ian Luca Vertberger
Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin Vacherot $91K 16 Won: Valentin Vacherot
About this data · run 1793602824, computed 2026-11-02 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793602824 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed