Polymarket market · Sports
Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz
Resolved: Carlos Alcaraz won · See it on Polymarket ↗
26 whales traded $92K on this market since Nov 1, 83% of their buying on Carlos Alcaraz. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.2¢ more per share, with 95% of the size there to buy. Carlos Alcaraz won, with 83% of the whale buying on it. Of the 22 whales whose whole position we captured, 17 made +$7.1K and 5 lost −$13K: −$6.3K between them. Biggest win: Gleeful-Cauliflower, +$1.4K on Carlos Alcaraz. Biggest loss: Rotating-Beard, −$5.3K on Alex de Minaur.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 26| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
6,030 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 93¢ | $18K | — | +$1.4K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,898 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 96¢ | $6.7K | — | −$920 |
| Slow-Violation
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 93¢ | $6.0K | — | +$452 |
| Trivial-Ravioli
371 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 93¢ | $5.9K | — | +$446 |
| Yellowish-Molding
5 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $5.8K | — |
| Rotating-Beard
12 settled bets Too few bets |
Alex de Minaur @ 15¢ | $5.3K | — | −$5.3K |
| Naughty-Tab
172 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 94¢ | $3.3K | $1.6K | +$108 |
| Glaring-Salt
2,322 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 80¢ | $4.3K | — | +$1.1K |
| Quixotic-Brow
261 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Alex de Minaur @ 20¢ | $4.1K | — | −$4.1K |
| Willing-Skiing
158 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 95¢ | $3.7K | — | +$193 |
| Snoopy-Feature
32 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 80¢ | $3.2K | — | +$804 |
| All-Peasant-Drug
1,259 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 92¢ | $2.8K | — | +$245 |
| Imaginative-River
97 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 82¢ | $2.5K | — | +$549 |
| Grubby-Timeout
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 81¢ | $2.4K | — | +$565 |
| Visible-Scenery
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 88¢ | $2.0K | — | +$273 |
| Ajar-Thief-Rooster
139 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alex de Minaur @ 12¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Mad-Wound
111 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 92¢ | $1.5K | — | +$130 |
| Turbulent-Bore
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 86¢ | $1.5K | — | +$242 |
| Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet
191 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 82¢ | $1.4K | — | +$314 |
| Key-Exhaust-Incision
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 93¢ | $1.4K | — | +$105 |
| Anchored-Grit
54 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K | — |
| Worrisome-Winery
80 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 91¢ | $1.2K | — | +$115 |
| Sad-Help
14 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K | — |
| Excellent-Figure
85 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alex de Minaur @ 6¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
| Pointed-Sand-Snowboarding
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Carlos Alcaraz won$68K83% of whale buying · 18 buyers · $11K sold
-
Alex de Minaur lost$14K17% of whale buying · 5 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Nov 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793602824).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa Maria: Ian Luca Vertberger vs Denis Klok | $62K | 5 | Won: Ian Luca Vertberger | |
| Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic | $72K | 16 | Won: Juan Manuel Cerundolo | |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin Vacherot | $91K | 16 | Won: Valentin Vacherot | |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) | $61K | 7 | Won: Steelers | |
| Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5 | $74K | 5 | Won: Over | |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 | $102K | 3 | Won: Under | |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? | $72K | 14 | Won: No | |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) | $58K | 11 | Won: Raiders |