Strong-Grill-Self
Skill vs luck
Strong-Grill-Self on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$1. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Strong-Grill-Self: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x7e65a3ddbd9589b752cb96b93f2f1eb711ec3b5c. Data CC BY 4.0.
Strong-Grill-Self: −$1 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$1
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | SELL Yes @ 7¢ | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 27 | SELL No @ 77¢ | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | $5.0K |
| Oct 27 | BUY Yes @ 70¢ | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | $2.7K |
| Sep 17 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? |
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | $1.0K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?