Naughty-Tab
0x492bb408693470df7d031ef48f3a5466055b45ee
Naughty-Tab: −$6.8K on 61 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 57% (95% range 45%–69%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$6.8K
return −3.5%
Settled bets
61
$195K staked
Won
57.4%
95% range 45%–69%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 25 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$36K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$16K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$27K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | BUY Elise Mertens
@ 98¢
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens |
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens | $2.0K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Coco Gauff
@ 75¢
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens |
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens | $1.1K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Coco Gauff
@ 75¢
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens |
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens | $1.1K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Iga Swiatek
@ 95¢
China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek |
China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek | $3.3K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Iga Swiatek
@ 92¢
China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek |
China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek | $3.3K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Iga Swiatek
@ 92¢
China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek |
China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek | $3.3K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Iga Swiatek
@ 78¢
China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek |
China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek | $1.1K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Iga Swiatek
@ 67¢
China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek |
China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.