Limited-Dragonfruit
Skill vs luck
Limited-Dragonfruit on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 6%–79%) · profit −$2.9K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 22, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Limited-Dragonfruit: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 22, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x0d6a1ada6d7ff785ab4b7263d9ce8e2baa85aa98. Data CC BY 4.0.
Limited-Dragonfruit: −$2.9K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 6 – Oct 22
- −$2.9K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | BUY Pelicans
@ 45¢
Spread: Pelicans (-7.5) |
Spread: Pelicans (-7.5) | $1.9K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Pelicans @ 71¢ | Pacers vs. Pelicans ↗ | $3.1K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Wizards @ 57¢ | Bucks vs. Wizards ↗ | $2.8K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?