Stingy-Havoc-Amendment
Skill vs luck
Stingy-Havoc-Amendment on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$2. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Stingy-Havoc-Amendment: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x952d3d78bb58528ffa7a0775335ca52ca75c6ffd. Data CC BY 4.0.
Stingy-Havoc-Amendment: −$2 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- −$2
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | SELL Harriet Dart @ 99.9¢ | Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart ↗ | $1.7K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.