Zesty-Doubter
Skill vs luck
Zesty-Doubter on Polymarket: 13 settled bets · won 39% (95% range 18%–65%) · profit −$6.0K. Skill vs luck: can't be told from luck. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 1, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Zesty-Doubter: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 1, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x820a0e91fdf03907ff7d05d0145f9d326f16ca12. Data CC BY 4.0.
Zesty-Doubter: −$6.0K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 39% (95% range 18%–65%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- −$3.3K
- Sep 3 – Sep 18
- +$575
- Sep 18 – Oct 3
- +$187
- Oct 3 – Oct 17
- −$2.4K
- Oct 17 – Nov 1
- −$1.1K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | BUY Jan-Lennard Struff @ 46¢ | Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Jan-Lennard Struff ↗ | $1.8K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Taylor Fritz @ 87¢ | Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Arthur Fils ↗ | $4.4K |
| Oct 27 | BUY Michele Ribecai
@ 28¢
Brest: Michele Ribecai vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer |
Brest: Michele Ribecai vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | $1.1K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Lorenzo Claverie
@ 99¢
Guayaquil: Lorenzo Claverie vs Arklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova |
Guayaquil: Lorenzo Claverie vs Arklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova | $10K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Stefanos Tsitsipas
@ 40¢
Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Stefanos Tsitsipas |
Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | $1.2K |
| Oct 18 | BUY Kamil Majchrzak
@ 41¢
European Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Kamil Majchrzak |
European Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Kamil Majchrzak | $2.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Alex Molcan
@ 33¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan | $1.1K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 53¢ | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev ↗ | $2.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.