Ancient-Infarction
0x8c73d0083d00049fd1c6a1bae61e166bba436daf
Ancient-Infarction: +$6.8K on 61 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 34% (95% range 24%–47%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$6.8K
return +22.5%
Settled bets
61
$30K staked
Won
34.4%
95% range 24%–47%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 16 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$3.4K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$2.9K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$477
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | SELL Arthur Gea
@ 99.58¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert | $1.8K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Arthur Gea
@ 84¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert | $1.5K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Rei Sakamoto
@ 94¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev | $1.4K |
| Oct 7 | SELL FlyQuest
@ 99.9¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner | $1.4K |
| Oct 6 | SELL LGD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $1.7K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Natus Vincere
@ 99¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner | $2.1K |
| Oct 5 | SELL PARIVISION
@ 99¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Team Vitality
@ 99.9¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.