Polymarket market · Sports

Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Resolved: Juan Manuel Cerundolo won · See it on Polymarket ↗

16 whales traded $72K on this market since Nov 1, 75% of their buying on Miomir Kecmanovic. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 6.3¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Juan Manuel Cerundolo won, with 25% of the whale buying on it. Of the 15 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$7.6K and 10 lost −$46K: −$38K between them. Biggest win: Luminous-Collision, +$2.8K on Juan Manuel Cerundolo. Biggest loss: Snappy-Basketball, −$10K on Miomir Kecmanovic.

The whales on this market

16 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Snappy-Basketball
382 settled bets Worse than the odds
Miomir Kecmanovic @ 42¢ $10K — −$10K
Meager-Flair-Wait
118 settled bets Worse than the odds
Miomir Kecmanovic @ 39¢ $9.7K — −$9.7K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
6,030 settled bets Beat the odds*
Miomir Kecmanovic @ 35¢ $9.4K — −$4.3K
Vibrant-Kind
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 85¢ $6.3K — +$1.1K
Quixotic-Brow
261 settled bets Worse than the odds
Miomir Kecmanovic @ 21¢ $6.3K — −$6.3K
Ajar-Thief-Rooster
139 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miomir Kecmanovic @ 61¢ $5.0K — −$5.0K
Harmless-Region
286 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miomir Kecmanovic @ 45¢ $2.9K $1.5K —
Excellent-Figure
85 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miomir Kecmanovic @ 54¢ $3.8K — −$3.8K
Luminous-Collision
61 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 55¢ $3.4K — +$2.8K
Scornful-Gym-Retreat
255 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miomir Kecmanovic @ 40¢ $2.8K — −$2.8K
Sparkling-Dynamite
49 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miomir Kecmanovic @ 15¢ $1.4K $1.3K −$95
Venerated-Dozen
85 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 54¢ $2.2K — +$1.8K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,579 settled bets Beat the odds*
Miomir Kecmanovic @ 12¢ $2.1K — −$2.1K
Sorrowful-Ton
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miomir Kecmanovic @ 39¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Oddball-Province
11 settled bets Too few bets
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 54¢ $1.2K — +$1.0K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,898 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 56¢ $1.2K — +$911

Where the whale money went

  1. Miomir Kecmanovic lost
    $52K
    75% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $2.8K sold
  2. Juan Manuel Cerundolo won
    $17K
    25% of whale buying · 6 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Nov 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793602824).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz $92K 26 Won: Carlos Alcaraz
Villa Maria: Ian Luca Vertberger vs Denis Klok $62K 5 Won: Ian Luca Vertberger
Chennai Open, Qualification: Aliona Falei vs Rada Zolotareva $108K 6 Won: Aliona Falei
Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart $210K 24 Won: Harriet Dart
Chennai Open, Qualification: Kyoka Okamura vs Momoko Kobori $67K 6 Won: Kyoka Okamura
Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin Vacherot $91K 16 Won: Valentin Vacherot
Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Coleman Wong $67K 15 Won: Terence Atmane
Spread: Steelers (-3.5) $61K 7 Won: Steelers
About this data · run 1793602824, computed 2026-11-02 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793602824 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed