Excellent-Figure
0x40f7a7aad6da78e947ef56eb3207ec7abf391f5e
Excellent-Figure: +$230 on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 29% (95% range 8%–64%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$230
return +10.6%
Settled bets
7
$2.2K staked
Won
28.6%
95% range 8%–64%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$1
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$121
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$110
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | SELL Lorenzo Giustino
@ 80¢
Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald |
Bari: Lorenzo Giustino vs Matthew William Donald | $1.1K |
| Oct 1 | SELL Juncheng Shang
@ 99.9¢
China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez |
China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | $1.1K |
| Sep 30 | SELL Renata Zarazua
@ 99.9¢
China Open: Anna Bondar vs Renata Zarazua |
China Open: Anna Bondar vs Renata Zarazua | $2.2K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Washington Mystics
@ 50¢
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5) |
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5) | $1.0K |
| Sep 11 | SELL Coco Gauff
@ 53¢
US Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina |
US Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina | $1.3K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Coco Gauff
@ 48¢
US Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina |
US Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina | $1.2K |
| Aug 23 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Fils vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 21.5 |
Fils vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 21.5 | $1.2K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.