Harmless-Region
0xb077e7482c6bea18f75e33bf823cbbe59cda8fe8
Harmless-Region: +$29K on 153 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 37% (95% range 29%–45%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$29K
return +16.2%
Settled bets
153
$179K staked
Won
36.6%
95% range 29%–45%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 83 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$4.2K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$4.2K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$29K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
In the live feed
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | SELL Grizzlies
@ 99.9¢
Spread: Bulls (-3.5) |
Spread: Bulls (-3.5) | $5.8K |
| Oct 10 | SELL Penguins
@ 48¢
Penguins vs. Blue Jackets |
Penguins vs. Blue Jackets | $2.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Penguins
@ 50¢
Penguins vs. Blue Jackets |
Penguins vs. Blue Jackets | $3.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Himeno Sakatsume
@ 50¢
Samsun: Simona Waltert vs Himeno Sakatsume |
Samsun: Simona Waltert vs Himeno Sakatsume | $1.7K |
| Oct 9 | BUY GamerLegion
@ 48¢
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Team Spirit
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $4.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 60¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $2.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Bebop
@ 48¢
Counter-Strike: mellren vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #11 Group C |
Counter-Strike: mellren vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #11 Group C | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.