0x02fd…104c
0x02fdcc77817bed708708be296c283481aec8104c
0x02fd…104c: −$8.4K on 18 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 16%–56%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$8.4K
return −32.8%
Settled bets
18
$26K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 16%–56%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 16 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$6.3K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$2.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Alejandro Moro Canas
@ 53¢
Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas |
Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas | $1.6K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Alejandro Moro Canas
@ 58¢
Palermo: Massimo Giunta vs Alejandro Moro Canas |
Palermo: Massimo Giunta vs Alejandro Moro Canas | $2.5K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Holger Rune
@ 55¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier | $1.8K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Abedallah Shelbayh
@ 85¢
Villena: Abedallah Shelbayh vs David Jorda Sanchis |
Villena: Abedallah Shelbayh vs David Jorda Sanchis | $1.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Abedallah Shelbayh
@ 68¢
Columbus: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Mitchell Krueger |
Columbus: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Mitchell Krueger | $2.2K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Guido Justo
@ 50¢
Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Tomas Barrios |
Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Tomas Barrios | $1.4K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Bryce Nakashima
@ 49¢
Columbus: Bryce Nakashima vs Keegan Smith |
Columbus: Bryce Nakashima vs Keegan Smith | $1.6K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Alejandro Tabilo
@ 48¢
Chengdu Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Adrian Mannarino |
Chengdu Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Adrian Mannarino | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.