Stormy-Influence
0x198fa74120438fb7cabccb61aa824c6720dfc419
Stormy-Influence: −$14K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 29% (95% range 12%–55%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$14K
return −54.6%
Settled bets
14
$26K staked
Won
28.6%
95% range 12%–55%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$4
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$5.6K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$8.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Tomas Etcheverry
@ 57¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tomas Etcheverry |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tomas Etcheverry | $1.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Under
@ 70¢
West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5 |
West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5 | $1.2K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Joaquin Aguilar
@ 45¢
Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon |
Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon | $1.5K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Pablo Llamas Ruiz
@ 52¢
Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov |
Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov | $2.6K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Eduardo Ribeiro
@ 66¢
Antofagasta: Gustavo Heide vs Eduardo Ribeiro |
Antofagasta: Gustavo Heide vs Eduardo Ribeiro | $1.7K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Alexandre Muller
@ 99.9¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rio Noguchi vs Alexandre Muller |
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rio Noguchi vs Alexandre Muller | $3.3K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Under
@ 58¢
Kazakhstan vs. Moldova: O/U 2.5 |
Kazakhstan vs. Moldova: O/U 2.5 | $1.1K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Alex Michelsen
@ 21¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen |
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen | $1.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.