Trusty-Sidestream

0x47d9456634dbd1bde85c5eae4d8a5b07214554b7

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Trusty-Sidestream: −$1.6K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 64% (95% range 35%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.6K
return −18.9%
Settled bets
11
$8.7K staked
Won
63.6%
95% range 35%–85%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$765
Sep 6 – Sep 24
−$18
Sep 24 – Oct 12
−$859
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 SELL No @ 65¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10?
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10? $2.2K
Oct 6 SELL Novak Djokovic @ 99¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur $1.1K
Oct 2 BUY Yes @ 77¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? $1.1K
Sep 24 BUY Under @ 99.67¢
Netherlands vs. Germany: O/U 2.5
Netherlands vs. Germany: O/U 2.5 $1.1K
Sep 19 BUY Yes @ 99¢
Will Sporting CP vs. FC Arouca end in a draw?
Will Sporting CP vs. FC Arouca end in a draw? $1.1K
Sep 10 SELL Under @ 99¢
PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5
PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5 $2.9K
Aug 30 BUY Yes @ 98¢
Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-30?
Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-30? $1.1K
Aug 28 BUY Yes @ 90¢
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-28?
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-28? $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed