Acceptable-Fishbone

0x776713e6791578ffa93fb6cc81da941dd4334fb2

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Acceptable-Fishbone: +$9.5K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 10%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$9.5K
return +64.7%
Settled bets
6
$15K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 10%–70%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$9.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 8 BUY Sangal @ 32¢
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sangal (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sangal (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs $2.1K
Oct 8 BUY Joaquin Aguilar @ 61¢
Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon
Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon $2.5K
Oct 7 BUY Edas Butvilas @ 37¢
Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg
Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg $2.5K
Oct 6 BUY Nets @ 53¢
Nets vs. Hornets
Nets vs. Hornets $2.9K
Oct 6 SELL Team Falcons @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $3.9K
Oct 6 SELL Aurora Gaming @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner $3.7K
Oct 1 BUY Joao Eduardo Schiessl @ 11¢
Curitiba: Joao Eduardo Schiessl vs Luis Guto Miguel
Curitiba: Joao Eduardo Schiessl vs Luis Guto Miguel $1.4K
Oct 1 BUY XLG Gaming @ 29¢
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D $3.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed