Hurtful-Exercise
0xcc32124b1db3b28ef7740f82549e6b994eb09a77
Hurtful-Exercise: −$1.4K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$1.4K
return −51.8%
Settled bets
4
$2.6K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 5%–70%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$1.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Sinja Kraus
@ 98¢
Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Sinja Kraus vs Magda Linette |
Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Sinja Kraus vs Magda Linette | $1.6K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Han Shi
@ 80¢
Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Peyton Stearns vs Han Shi |
Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Peyton Stearns vs Han Shi | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Andrey Chepelev
@ 99.9¢
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Stefano D'Agostino vs Andrey Chepelev |
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Stefano D'Agostino vs Andrey Chepelev | $1.2K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Qinwen Zheng
@ 99.9¢
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elina Svitolina |
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elina Svitolina | $1.1K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.