Hollow-Filing
0x970998da056e60c707d9b1fc55cfdf3d68c252ab
Hollow-Filing: −$17K on 52 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 69% (95% range 56%–80%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$17K
return −11.9%
Settled bets
52
$139K staked
Won
69.2%
95% range 56%–80%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 49 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$3.6K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$115
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$13K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Kia Tigers
@ 82¢
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers |
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers | $1.2K |
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 99.19¢
Exact Score: Antigua GFC 3 - 3 CSD Municipal? |
Exact Score: Antigua GFC 3 - 3 CSD Municipal? | $1.1K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 63¢
Will Messi score 3+ goals vs. Benin? |
Will Messi score 3+ goals vs. Benin? | $1.5K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Yes
@ 18¢
Will Paper Rex win VALORANT Champions 2026? |
Will Paper Rex win VALORANT Champions 2026? | $1.8K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Yes
@ 51¢
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05? |
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05? | $1.4K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Rams
@ 58¢
Rams vs. Eagles |
Rams vs. Eagles | $2.7K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Bengals
@ 54¢
Jaguars vs. Bengals |
Jaguars vs. Bengals | $3.6K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Minnesota
@ 69¢
Michigan vs. Minnesota |
Michigan vs. Minnesota | $3.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.