Smoggy-Veterinarian

0xd5d40f34e2302d41a6b4feaaaf3571b1bf1f8b32

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Smoggy-Veterinarian: −$3.4K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 69% (95% range 42%–87%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$3.4K
return −34.4%
Settled bets
13
$9.9K staked
Won
69.2%
95% range 42%–87%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$6.2K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$2.9K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$56
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 5 SELL Ann Li @ 95¢
China Open: Belinda Bencic vs Ann Li
China Open: Belinda Bencic vs Ann Li $1.1K
Sep 18 SELL No @ 6¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? $1.1K
Sep 16 SELL Gabriela Ce @ 63¢
Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela Ce
Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela Ce $1.2K
Sep 11 BUY No @ 49¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? $1.0K
Sep 6 SELL Marta Kostyuk @ 62¢
US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova $1.7K
Sep 6 SELL Naomi Osaka @ 60¢
US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens
US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens $1.5K
Sep 5 BUY Coco Gauff @ 99¢
US Open WTA: Cristina Bucsa vs Coco Gauff
US Open WTA: Cristina Bucsa vs Coco Gauff $1.5K
Sep 5 SELL Qinwen Zheng @ 37¢
US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng
US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng $4.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed