Lanky-Nudge
0x0ee52436cfd4c726385fec293d48d99d3b44e798
Lanky-Nudge: −$2.0K on 32 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 31% (95% range 18%–49%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$2.0K
return −7.2%
Settled bets
32
$28K staked
Won
31.2%
95% range 18%–49%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$2.5K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$566
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$16
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? |
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? | $2.6K |
| Oct 9 | SELL West Indies
@ 99.9¢
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies |
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies | $1.1K |
| Oct 8 | SELL Miguel Tobon
@ 99.9¢
Antofagasta: Miguel Tobon vs Tomas Barrios |
Antofagasta: Miguel Tobon vs Tomas Barrios | $1.7K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Novak Djokovic
@ 99.9¢
China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic |
China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic | $3.0K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Samuele Pieri
@ 99.9¢
Bari: Vitaliy Sachko vs Samuele Pieri |
Bari: Vitaliy Sachko vs Samuele Pieri | $1.0K |
| Oct 1 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-01? | $1.2K |
| Oct 1 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | $1.5K |
| Sep 26 | SELL Alex de Minaur
@ 99.9¢
Laver Cup: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur |
Laver Cup: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur | $3.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.