Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Open as of the last weekly run · See it on Polymarket ↗
175 whales put $1.46M into this market since Aug 22, 88% of their buying on Yes. It hadn't resolved as of the last weekly run.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 175| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fatherly-Stamen
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 85¢ | $126K | — |
| Determined-Tomato
10 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 85¢ | $91K | — |
| Sardonic-Lentil
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 63¢ | $75K | — |
| Moist-Dame
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 42¢ | $59K | — |
| Showy-Audit
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 84¢ | $54K | — |
| 0x2f9d…deb3
no settled record |
Yes @ 72¢ | $46K | — |
| Zesty-Disappointment
17 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 47¢ | $39K | — |
| Mediocre-Emitter
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 84¢ | $39K | — |
| Oblong-Pioneer
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 62¢ | $6.7K | $29K |
| Distant-Pomelo
127 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 56¢ | $13K | $17K |
| Plain-Apparatus-Acre
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 56¢ | $28K | — |
| Yellow-Dress-Ballet
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 63¢ | $27K | — |
| Crowded-Distance
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 57¢ | $27K | — |
| Stylish-Coliseum
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 85¢ | $26K | — |
| Fearless-Misnomer
34 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 51¢ | $11K | $13K |
| Pristine-Clip-Billion
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 57¢ | $9.5K | $10K |
| Wobbly-Pants
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $19K |
| Personal-Bake
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 85¢ | $19K | — |
| 0x9966…663f
no settled record |
Yes @ 86¢ | $16K | — |
| 0xdfe6…115c
no settled record |
Yes @ 84¢ | $1.4K | $15K |
| Grounded-Depression
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 82¢ | $16K | — |
| Grounded-Halibut
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 30¢ | $4.4K | $12K |
| Each-Jeans
5 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $15K |
| 0x075d…d614
no settled record |
Yes @ 57¢ | $15K | — |
| 0xae39…f921
no settled record |
Yes @ 83¢ | $7.4K | $7.6K |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$993K88% of whale buying · 111 buyers · $293K sold
-
No$121K11% of whale buying · 22 buyers · $28K sold
-
Yes$14K1% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $9.0K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 22 to Oct 10, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).