Mediocre-Emitter
0x63bcf78f77cef62b4a9b8d101a14247bf90292c5
Mediocre-Emitter: −$55K on 35 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 51% (95% range 36%–67%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$55K
return −27.6%
Settled bets
35
$201K staked
Won
51.4%
95% range 36%–67%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 24 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$45K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$62
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$11K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Team Vitality
@ 75¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Yes
@ 84¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $16K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Yes
@ 84¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $6.6K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Yes
@ 84¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $17K |
| Oct 5 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 83¢
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 99¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | $10K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Galions
@ 80¢
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs |
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs | $2.3K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Yes
@ 80¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | $18K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.