Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
16 whales traded $57K on this market since Aug 28, 97% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.0¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
16 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Velvety-Burn
119 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.15¢ | $12K | — |
| Cheery-Preparation
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.6¢ | $10K | — |
| Novel-Chitchat
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.7¢ | $5.0K | $2.9K |
| Grown-Fence
33 settled bets Worse than the odds |
No @ 99.04¢ | $5.8K | — |
| 0x3a53…a162
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.5K |
| Upset-Suede
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.6K |
| Natural-Gear
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.3K |
| Harsh-Macro
73 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 98¢ | $2.2K | — |
| Attentive-Crewman
8 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99.7¢ | $1.7K | — |
| Smoggy-Bribery
8 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 99¢ | $1.5K | — |
| Decent-Drop
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 96¢ | $1.4K | — |
| 0x7521…5ee5
no settled record |
No @ 99.05¢ | $1.4K | — |
| 0x8224…bea8
no settled record |
No @ 99¢ | $1.4K | — |
| Menacing-Blogger
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99¢ | $1.2K | — |
| Strong-Exit
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 98¢ | $1.2K | — |
| Moist-Dame
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
No$44K97% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $11K sold
-
No$1.5K3% of whale buying · 1 buyer
-
Yes$00% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $1.0K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 28 to Oct 14, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792047640).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | $356K | 39 | Open | |
| Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week? | $81K | 12 | Open | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.61M | 198 | Open | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | $337K | 37 | Open | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $398K | 57 | Open | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $282K | 16 | Open | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.34M | 164 | Open | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $188K | 36 | Open |