Moist-Dame
0x58b3380f71bd6c706dd398a5e60bde55fa3a653c
Profit
−$326K
return −35.8%
Settled bets
18
$912K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 29%–71%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Aug 20 – Sep 4: −$197K
Sep 4 – Sep 20: −$129K
Sep 20 – Oct 5: +$347
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
In the live feed
$12K
sold
Yes
at 28¢
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | Bought No
at 87¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.7K |
| Oct 4 | Bought No
at 63¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $3.2K |
| Oct 4 | Bought No
at 72¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | $7.5K |
| Oct 3 | Bought No
at 60¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.2K |
| Oct 3 | Bought No
at 60¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $3.0K |
| Oct 3 | Bought No
at 60¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.2K |
| Oct 3 | Bought No
at 83¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $2.4K |
| Oct 3 | Bought No
at 83¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $4.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.