Fearless-Misnomer
0xe234959595e01dacd391a9502a6ad0edf4e3304a
Profit
−$11K
return −11.9%
Settled bets
34
$90K staked
Won
47.1%
95% range 32%–63%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Worse than the odds. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 19 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Aug 20 – Sep 4: −$3.5K
Sep 4 – Sep 20: −$4.9K
Sep 20 – Oct 5: −$2.3K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
In the live feed
$6.3K
bought
No
at 99.6¢
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | Sold No
at 26¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | $1.3K |
| Oct 4 | Bought Yes
at 99¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.8K |
| Oct 4 | Bought No
at 99¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.3K |
| Oct 4 | Bought No
at 98¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? |
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | $3.9K |
| Oct 4 | Bought No
at 12¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.2K |
| Oct 4 | Sold Yes
at 84¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $8.5K |
| Oct 4 | Sold Yes
at 65¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $1.8K |
| Oct 4 | Sold Yes
at 39¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.