Dental-Liquid

0x7f9e2d1df78614564a70becc7fa14aa9a6623a0e

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Dental-Liquid: −$27K on 29 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 48% (95% range 31%–66%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$27K
return −32.2%
Settled bets
29
$85K staked
Won
48.3%
95% range 31%–66%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 15 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$16K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$7.8K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$19K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 8 BUY No @ 85¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $2.4K
Oct 5 BUY No @ 84¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $1.4K
Oct 5 BUY No @ 85¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? $83K
Oct 4 BUY Yes @ 48¢
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $1.7K
Oct 4 BUY No @ 91¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? $9.4K
Oct 4 SELL No @ 84¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? $8.7K
Oct 4 BUY Yes @ 57¢
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? $5.6K
Oct 3 BUY No @ 89¢
Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?
Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? $3.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed