Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
5 whales traded $51K on this market since Sep 26, 68% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 3.9¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
5 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x780f…8955
no settled record |
Yes @ 61¢ | $34K | — |
| 0xa5c3…6eca
no settled record |
No @ 39¢ | $9.1K | — |
| 0xcbc6…7fd5
no settled record |
No @ 38¢ | $4.6K | — |
| Nautical-Schooner-Athlete
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 63¢ | $1.6K | — |
| 0x8549…6408
no settled record |
Yes @ 61¢ | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$35K68% of whale buying · 3 buyers
-
No$14K27% of whale buying · 2 buyers
-
Yes$2.4K5% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 26 to Oct 14, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792047640).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | $76K | 24 | Open | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $131K | 12 | Open | |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | $164K | 32 | Open | |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | $67K | 20 | Open | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | $149K | 11 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | $162K | 28 | Open | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $398K | 57 | Open | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | $171K | 27 | Open |