Determined-Tomato
0xbace5a5a9e309d69164dc81788d353fed8d43429
Determined-Tomato: +$6.7K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 49%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$6.7K
return +11.8%
Settled bets
10
$56K staked
Won
80.0%
95% range 49%–94%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$312
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$69
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$6.9K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 86¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $82K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Yes
@ 86¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $6.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 90¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | $3.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 64¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $3.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 93¢
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31? |
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31? | $1.3K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 89¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | $1.7K |
| Sep 30 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | $5.2K |
| Sep 29 | BUY No
@ 93¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.