Plain-Apparatus-Acre
0xc1a9273b15a17d21af09dddb42b9239b93d4e2db
Plain-Apparatus-Acre: +$13K on 18 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 61% (95% range 39%–80%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$13K
return +13.7%
Settled bets
18
$95K staked
Won
61.1%
95% range 39%–80%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$3.1K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$16K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18 | BUY Yes
@ 56¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $21K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Yes
@ 57¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $7.7K |
| Sep 17 | BUY San Diego Padres
@ 81¢
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies |
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies | $23K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Yes
@ 82¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? |
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | $19K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Yes
@ 82¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14? |
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14? | $14K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Yes
@ 85¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? |
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? | $6.7K |
| Sep 13 | SELL Garcia
@ 99.9¢
Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main) |
Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main) | $6.7K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Garcia
@ 72¢
Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main) |
Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main) | $4.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.