Lean-Pantyhose
Skill vs luck
Lean-Pantyhose on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 40% (95% range 12%–77%) · profit +$20K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Lean-Pantyhose: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xc301c1e034e71e1a6ce9684f029c4674a00466aa. Data CC BY 4.0.
Lean-Pantyhose: +$20K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 12%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- +$20K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | BUY Yes @ 73¢ | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 26 | BUY Yes @ 77¢ | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ | $21K |
| Oct 26 | SELL No @ 99.9¢ | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | $194K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Yes @ 94¢ | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | $13K |
| Oct 25 | BUY No @ 94¢ | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | $22K |
| Oct 25 | SELL Yes @ 99.3¢ | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? ↗ | $2.9K |
| Oct 25 | SELL Yes @ 65¢ | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House ↗ | $7.7K |
| Oct 25 | BUY No @ 62¢ | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | $15K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?