Zesty-Disappointment
0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e
Zesty-Disappointment: −$1.5K on 17 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 65% (95% range 41%–83%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$1.5K
return −1.8%
Settled bets
17
$85K staked
Won
64.7%
95% range 41%–83%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$6.5K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$7.2K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$2.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | SELL No
@ 94¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | $10K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 85¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $2.4K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Yes
@ 95¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | $4.9K |
| Oct 6 | SELL No
@ 90¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | $4.8K |
| Oct 5 | BUY No
@ 84¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $5.6K |
| Oct 5 | BUY No
@ 84¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $3.7K |
| Oct 5 | BUY No
@ 83¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $2.9K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Yes
@ 84¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $3.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.