Cheery-Tire-Cluster
0x3eb095d871501a1d7a3cb086a22d174b52356a68
Cheery-Tire-Cluster: −$210K on 17 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 24% (95% range 10%–47%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$210K
return −66.3%
Settled bets
17
$317K staked
Won
23.5%
95% range 10%–47%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 17 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$207K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$25K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$28K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY FK Bodø/Glimt
@ 60¢
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5) |
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5) | $1.4K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Germany
@ 41¢
Spread: Germany (-2.5) |
Spread: Germany (-2.5) | $4.2K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 51¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | $11K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Germany
@ 41¢
Spread: Germany (-2.5) |
Spread: Germany (-2.5) | $1.3K |
| Sep 26 | BUY No
@ 52¢
Will Once Caldas win on 2026-09-25? |
Will Once Caldas win on 2026-09-25? | $3.2K |
| Sep 26 | BUY No
@ 58¢
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-09-25? |
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-09-25? | $25K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Yes
@ 31¢
Will Atlante FC win on 2026-09-25? |
Will Atlante FC win on 2026-09-25? | $5.4K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Over
@ 38¢
Getafe CF vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5 |
Getafe CF vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5 | $7.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.