0x8ba2…1650
0x8ba27b7c9de2b6367f986bff5f9c8049204c1650
0x8ba2…1650: −$9.0K on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 28%–72%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$9.0K
return −14.7%
Settled bets
16
$61K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 28%–72%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 16 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$890
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$14K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$3.8K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes
@ 48¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? |
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | $1.5K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Yes
@ 40¢
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? |
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | $1.4K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Under
@ 41¢
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5 |
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5 | $5.0K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Yes
@ 36¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? |
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | $2.0K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Yes
@ 51¢
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-08-22? |
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-08-22? | $10K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Under
@ 44¢
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5 |
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5 | $2.7K |
| Sep 9 | BUY Yes
@ 44¢
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? |
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | $1.1K |
| Sep 9 | BUY Yes
@ 55¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09? |
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09? | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.